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Each month since 1976, Blue Chip Economic Indicators has polled
America's top business economists, collecting their forecasts of U.S. economic
growth, inflation, interest rates, and a host of other critical indicators of
future business activity. Our 30+ year track record of providing corporate and
government decision-makers with our survey results has made Blue Chip
Economic Indicators synonymous with the latest in expert opinion on the
future performance of the American economy.
Each issue of this 16-page newsletter forecasts from 50-plus economists
employed by some of America's largest and most respected manufacturers, banks,
insurance companies, and brokerage firms.
Frequently cited by such national media outlets as Reuters, CNBC, MSNBC,
Blue Chip Economic Indicators provides forecasts for this year and next
from each panel member, plus and average, or consensus, of their forecasts for
each variable:
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Real GDP
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GDP price index
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Nominal GDP
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Consumer price index
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Industrial production
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Real disposable personal income
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Real personal consumption expenditures
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Real non-residential fixed investment
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Pre-tax corporate profits
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3-mo. Treasury bill rate
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10-yr. Treasury note yield
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Unemployment rate
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Total housing starts
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Total vehicle sales
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Real Net exports
Each forecaster's prediction is published along with the average, or consensus
forecast, for each variable. There are also averages of the 10 highest and 10
lowest forecasts for each variable; a median forecast to eliminate the effects
of extreme forecasts on the consensus; the number of forecasts raised,
lowered, or left unchanged from a month ago; and a diffusion index that
indicates shifts in sentiment that sometimes occur prior to changes in the
consensus forecast.
In addition to each month's survey results, you get:
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Commentary: Analysis by newsletter's staff of latest survey results and
U.S. economic developments
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Graphs: Plot the latest historical data and consensus forecasts along
with commentary and analysis on the changing outlook
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Long-Range Forecasts: In March and October, consensus, and averages of
top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts of all regular variables for each of the next
seven years, plus an average for the following 5-year period
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Viewpoints: A sampling of views on the economy excerpted from recent
reports issued by Blue Chip panel members
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Special Questions: The results of special polls of the panel on
questions of topical interest, i.e. monetary policy, fiscal policy, major
influences on the outlook for growth, inflation, etc.
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Databank: Two years of historical data on 28 critical indicators of
business activity. Calendar: A calendar of upcoming government and private
sector data releases, Federal Reserve meetings, etc.
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Blue Chip Econometric Detail: A 4-page quarterly supplement that
contains a limited National Income and Product Account breakdown based on the
latest Blue Chip consensus forecast and a simulation of the U.S. econometric
model of the U.S. economy developed by Macroeconomic Advisers, LLC
