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Each month since 1976, Blue Chip Economic Indicators has polled America's top
business economists, collecting their forecasts of U.S. economic growth,
inflation, interest rates, and a host of other critical indicators of future
business activity. Our 30+ year track record of providing corporate and
government decision-makers with our survey results has made Blue Chip
Economic Indicators synonymous with the latest in expert opinion on the
future performance of the American economy.
Each issue of this 16-page newsletter forecasts from 50-plus economists
employed by some of America's largest and most respected manufacturers, banks,
insurance companies, and brokerage firms.
Frequently cited by such national media outlets as Reuters, CNBC, MSNBC,
Blue Chip Economic Indicators provides forecasts for this year and next
from each panel member, plus and average, or consensus, of their forecasts for
each variable:
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Real GDP
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GDP price index
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Nominal GDP
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Consumer price index
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Industrial production
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Real disposable personal income
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Real personal consumption expenditures
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Real non-residential fixed investment
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Pre-tax corporate profits
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3-mo. Treasury bill rate
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10-yr. Treasury note yield
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Unemployment rate
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Total housing starts
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Total vehicle sales
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Real Net exports
Each forecaster's prediction is published along with the average, or consensus
forecast, for each variable. There are also averages of the 10 highest and 10
lowest forecasts for each variable; a median forecast to eliminate the effects
of extreme forecasts on the consensus; the number of forecasts raised,
lowered, or left unchanged from a month ago; and a diffusion index that
indicates shifts in sentiment that sometimes occur prior to changes in the
consensus forecast.
